Sunday, January 3, 2010

With apologies to the adult diaper industry

The indefatigable Nate Silver does some calculations about Terrorism on airplanes in teh US.
Therefore, the odds of being on given departure which is the subject of a terrorist incident have been 1 in 10,408,947 over the past decade. By contrast, the odds of being struck by lightning in a given year are about 1 in 500,000.(his bolding)
I'm sure that a news industry whose job it was to tell people information that was based on fact, and a political class that was intent on conveying the reality of a situation to it's constituents, would have this on front pages and mention it in interviews whenever the topic came up.

10 comments:

merc said...

Terror of the unknown, they ain't doing it right.

entesses, many many Tess's.

ifthethunderdontgetya™³²®© said...

I'm sure that a news industry whose job it was to tell people information that was based on fact, and a political class that was intent on conveying the reality of a situation to it's constituents, would have this on front pages and mention it in interviews whenever the topic came up.

See Ceci.
~

J— said...

the odds of being struck by lightning in a given year are about 1 in 500,000

Why is Obama taking so long to send troops to Tampa Bay? These lightnings have become emboldened by his inaction!

mikey said...

Fuck.

That's about the same odds as you have for marrying my ex-wife.

RUN!

Stupid fucker, RUN!

You think naked batsman has some kind of empathy for your life? You're gonna go down HARD!

Fer crissakes, just drop the personal massager and RUN!!!

Smut Clyde said...

Naked Baseballer will not help you either.

Smut Clyde said...

The chance of dying in an aeroplane-related terrorist incident are much smaller that the chance of dying in a US-led anti-terrorist war.

Of course you can reduce the latter possibility by (a) not living in an oil-rich Middle-Eastern country and (b) not joining the US or UK armed forces.

Another Kiwi said...

Oh sure, lefty appeaser. Who will protect the womenfolk then? Eh?

merc said...

And besides, Charlie don't surf.

ressons, yo I haz mine.

Big Bad Bald Bastard said...

See Ceci.

Damn, I always liked Ceci!

Another Kiwi said...

Ceci are chickpeas, how can this be???